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But indeed, the future is uncertain! And so the return of Parameter A is also uncertain. The best choice, in fact, is to rely on unpredictability.

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Often, a parameter with a lower maximum return but superior predictability less fluctuation will be preferable to a parameter with high return but poor predictability. In turn, you must acknowledge this unpredictability in your Forex predictions. This does not necessarily mean we should use Parameter B, because even the lower returns of Parameter A performs better than Parameter B; this is just to show you that Optimizing Parameters can result in tests that overstate likely future results, and such thinking is not obvious. This is a subject that fascinates me.

Building your own FX simulation system is an excellent option to learn more about Forex market trading, and the possibilities are endless.

The Forex world can be overwhelming at times, but I hope that this write-up has given you some points on how to start on your own Forex trading strategy. Nowadays, there is a vast pool of tools to build, test, and improve Trading System Automations: Trading Blox for testing, NinjaTrader for trading, OCaml for programming, to name a few. Here are a few write-ups that I recommend for programmers and enthusiastic readers:.

Forex or FX trading is buying and selling via currency pairs e. Forex brokers make money through commissions and fees. Forex traders make or lose money based on their timing: If they're able to sell high enough compared to when they bought, they can turn a profit. Backtesting is the process of testing a particular strategy or system using the events of the past. Subscription implies consent to our privacy policy.

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